Werdum is averaging 3.61 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.62 significant strikes per minute. The long layoff clearly did not serve Werdum well, and as this is his last fight under contract with the UFC, this is a classic case of Dana White making sure that Werdum leaves on a three-fight losing streak, just in case another promotion wants to pick him up as a free agent. As a condition of viewing this website viewers agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from the viewer’s participation in any of the games and/or activities offered by the advertiser. Werdum now finds himself on a two-fight losing streak and on his way out of the UFC, if he can’t find a way to turn things around quickly. Guaranteed packages automatically give you a credit if the package does not win or profit. The card is headlined by a Middleweight bout between title contenders Robert Whittaker and Darren Till. He is also averaging 1.56 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and is successful 39 percent of the time. Head-to-toe bout predictions and breakdowns for the first three UFC on ESPN 14 main card matches this Saturday (July 25, 2020) from inside Flash Forum on "Fight Island" in … ... Fabricio Werdum (23-9) vs. Alexander Gustafsson (18-6) Alexander Gustafsson makes his long-awaited return to the octagon tonight as he squares off against former UFC Heavyweight champion, Fabricio Werdum. So, that means either Gustafsson knocks him out or takes him to a decision. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes. Sports betting and gambling laws vary by jurisdiction. The long layoff was clearly evident in his last fight against Aleksei Oleinik, as he looked out of shape and very slow. If he is ever going to get his hands on UFC gold, he needs to make his run now, as time is running out. When striking, Fabricio Werdum has an accuracy rate of 52%. Gustafsson was last seen in June of 2019 when he was submitted by Anthony Smith and has fought just five times since his 2015 loss to Daniel Cormier, a fight that was for the UFC Light Heavyweight belt. The big Swede hasn’t won by submission since he topped James Te Huna at UFC 127 back on Feb. 26, 2011, so you can obviously forget about betting that prop. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. When Alexander Gustafsson fought Jon Jones at UFC 165 way back in September of 2013, he was riding a six-fight winning streak and was 15-1 in his career. But then things turned south for Gustafsson as a string of injuries and losses sent his career into a tailspin. and the Latest Sports Betting News, We hate spam as much as you do, we will never sell or trade your information. So, I will take a look at the various prop bets available for this match and see if I can find more value elsewhere. These are two pretty even fighters and there is no way Gustafsson should be this big of a favorite. Gustafsson’s last win came against Glover Teixeira in 2017. Alexander Gustafsson averages 1.56 takedowns per 15 minutes, with an accuracy rate of 39%. He gassed out early and was even soundly out grappled at times by Oleinik, which was shocking. He looked exhausted on the walk into the cage and was not at all ready to fight. I don’t think that Werdum is going to get submitted in this fight. The last thing Dana ever wants is a guy leaving on top, so sending them out with a bang is his signature move. White loves to feed guys to the wolves on their way out, so he can continue to tout that the UFC has the top talent in the world. Alexander Gustafsson: Opened -360, now -335 (82% of handle, 89% of bets) Fabricio Werdum: Opened +275, now +260 (18% of handle, 11% of bets) Winning method But I can’t lay all that wood on Gustafsson, even though I am certain he will win. I was embarrassed to watch Fabricio Werdum in his last fight. Gustafsson is also averaging 0.4 submission attempts every 15 minutes. Fabricio Werdum lands 3.61 significant strikes per minute. For Alexander Gustafsson, his accuracy rate with strikes is 40%. Get EXCLUSIVE Free Picks, Special NEWSLETTER ONLY Offers, Gustafsson has averaged just one fight a year in the last five years, and he is on the wrong side of thirty at this point. But after losing his Heavyweight strap to Stipe Miocic, things have quickly gone downhill for Werdum. Werdum has wins over Fedor Emelianenko, Cain Velasquez, Roy Nelson, Gabriel Gonzaga, Alistair Overeem, and Mark Hunt in his career. His recent wins over Glover Teixeira and Jan Błachowicz tells me that this guy can still hang with the best there is in the UFC. With a takedown accuracy rate of 31%, Fabricio Werdum averages 1.71 takedowns per 15 minutes. We'll see you in a few hours on ESPN / E+, [ B2YB @HSpecialSurgery ] #UFCFightIsland3 pic.twitter.com/GCKArU4OYV. Gustafsson’s last fight was against Anthony Smith and he was winning that fight but in the fourth round late he was submitted by a rear naked choke. Alexander “The Mauler” Gustafsson also comes into this fight really struggling .Overall Gustafsson has an 18-6 record and since coming into this game he has lost two fights in a row.

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